Wednesday, March 29, 2017

Memory Shortages bode well for DRAM, NAND and NOR Vendors in 2017

Flash Memory Components 2016 Market Revenues Improved to $37B, 3D NAND awakes, XPoint Delayed
Monterey, CA - March 29, 2017 – Not since 2000, have the memory suppliers been in an undersupply situation since 2H 2016 is increasing memory prices for a number of reasons.  NAND vendors are producing 2D (planar) NAND at full capacity, while concurrently making the costly shift in production to 3D NAND. DRAM has been so hot that the Big Three (Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron) are shrinking their lithography below 1x and 1y, while maintaining their production at capacity. Other foundries, like the memory manufacturers, are also running at capacity, trying to maintain balance with IoT, M-2-M, mobile and computing demands. Even the NOR Flash market saw a reversal of 15+ years of market declines has been caught in the allocation/shortage scenario. Yet, with all this current production building additional capacity takes time and has been fraught with technology hurdles that slowdown bit increases.  

Although the NOR market is around 5% of NAND, NOR’s challenges represent a microcosm of the larger Flash and memory markets.  With the stronger demand for SoC (System on Chip) to satisfy the IoT and edge terminal requirements, foundries and ODMs are shifting their wafer mix away from standalone memories. These SoCs are also being built at lithography nodes below 40nm, where most embedded NOR Flash cannot be built. Consequently, these SoCs will need KGD and standalone serial NOR components at 512Kbit-256Mbit densities and larger to fulfill the IoT system memory requirements. In China, GigaDevice who supplies serial NOR is caught in a wafer allocation squeeze in not getting enough serial Flash wafers from their foundry who is making more SoCs (that need serial NOR). Winbond who makes both DRAM and NOR/NAND has been riding the higher price DRAM wave and has limited any additional wafer allocations to NOR. Micron has been rumored to have shut down NOR production at their Singapore fab in favor of NAND, which removes some NOR wafer capacity. Cypress the NOR market leader is gradually moving their emphasis from commodity standalone NOR to a IoT systems memory module especially for the automotive market.  Finally, Macronix has regained more NOR market presence in allocating more NOR wafer production is still facing long lead times since demand is ever increasing on the constrained industry supply. The net effect is NOR and other memory prices are increasing with supply constraints and vendors are on allocation for the foreseeable future.

In consolidating its annual results of each Flash memory vendor’s shipments, WebFeet Research found the 2016 Flash memory market to be $36.8 billion, an increase of 10% from 2015.  A substantial increase in 2016 revenues came from the NAND Flash market with a 10.7% growth rate, while the NOR market contracted flatly from 2015 by only -1.8 %. Samsung was the perennial 2016 revenue market leader for all NV Memories and NAND, Cypress (Spansion) established itself as the NOR Flash and the NVRAM market leader, while Macronix regained the serial NOR leadership position.

The 2016 Non  Volatile Memory Market Shares by Vendor report discusses the impact of the mergers and acquisitions on the memory market, qualifies the migration of planar to 3D NAND, quantifies how fast the emerging NVM are growing including STT-MRAM and XPoint as well as the reemergence of RRAM and NRAM, and presents two forecasts for serial EEPROM showing the impact (slow initial adoption) of the Internet of Things (IoT) and its aggressive scenario.  

This 2016 Non Volatile Memory Market Shares by Vendor report, CS700MS-2017, includes market shares by vendor for total Non Volatile Memory, NAND Flash, NOR Flash, serial NOR Flash, total EEPROM, serial EEPROM, parallel EEPROM, OTP ROM (EPROM and Mask ROM), and NVRAM (NVSRAM, RTC, MRAM, FeRAM, PCM, XPoint, RRAM, NRAM and Others).  Annual revenue forecasts are provided from 2015-2022 for the EEPROM, OTP ROM, and NVRAM markets. In addition, the NVSRAM market shares are broken out by vendor for Real Time Clocks (RTC) and NVSRAM from 2011-2016.  This report, CS700MS-2017, is available for $2.5K and for providers of the market share data they can obtain the report with a $500 discount.  WebFeet Research also has forecast the serial EEPROM (conservative and aggressive) and the NVSRAM (nvSRAM, RTC) from 2014-2022 by density for revenue, units, and ASPs, and for the serial EEPROM by interface type.  Each of these additional forecasts are priced at $500 and come in excel format. 

WebFeet Research, located in Monterey, California, provides business consulting and market research services in the memory and storage markets, with emphasis on flash memory components, EFDs, SSDs, Persistent Memory and In-Memory Computing/Cognitive Computing.

Contact:  WebFeet Research at 831-869-8274 or alan.niebel@web-feetresearch.com or www.WebFeetresearch.com

Monday, January 16, 2017

WFR's New SSD Market Analysis – NVMe now, NVDIMM coming

How are high performance SSDs impacting the Enterprise, Client and Commercial applications? 
Who is pushing the edge of SSD and Controllers: intelligent processing of NVMe storage, compression and Object storage?

MONTEREY, CA., January 16, 2017 – As the SSD market enters 2017, the long-anticipated rollout of All Flash Arrays featuring NVMe is finally finding traction at the high end of the enterprise market. Making the transition from SATA and SAS to PCIe and NVMe has been fraught with delays in standardizing the NVMe protocols and the development of an Ethernet- type fabric based on the NVMe protocol (NVMf).  Overall, the SSD market has grown significantly in all three markets: enterprise, client and commercial reaching a market volume of $41 billion by 2021. With the adoption of new interfaces like NVMe and the Memory Channel, and embracing emerging media like 3D NAND and Persistent Memory (ReRAM / XPoint) the industry is undergoing a transformation. The old computing storage model is unable to keep up with the amount of data needed to be stored. It needs to merge storage into memory in order to process in real time more complex data, diverse data types and much higher volume of data anticipated through 2021.
Even though NAND-Flash based solid-state-disk drives perform at several orders of magnitude higher than hard-disk-drives they suffer from the same non-deterministic inadequacies as compared to solutions based on XPoint memory. Flash memory based SSDs suffer the indeterminate delay inserted by the Flash Translation Layer in its production of the of physical block addresses. This is one reason that All-Flash-Array architects like Pure Storage desire additional physical control at the Flash Translation Layer. Additional storage system functions such as deduplication, compression, error coding, power-on fill, data recovery ops, checkpointing, and scrubbing are further accelerated by this approach.
WebFeet Research, Inc., an industry leading Non Volatile Memory and Storage market research firm, released the twelfth annual report Solid State Drives (SSD) Markets and Applications 2017 report, SS300SSD-2017. This report concentrates on the enterprise market with the emergence of PCIe, NVMe (U.2 and M.2) and NVDIMM SSDs as well as quantifying the client and commercial markets.  It addresses the difficulty of migrating from HDD to SSD and to Hybrid and All Flash storage systems while advancing the ‘intelligent processing’ of memory and storage.
For the executive, marketing, or finance professional this report is vital. When combined with the SSD and Controller SWOT report, SS350SWOT-2016, the reader will have a comprehensive view of the SSD market from the forecast to knowing which companies are providing the latest in SSD and controller offerings. 
About WebFeet Research   
Headquartered in Monterey, California, WebFeet Research provides business consulting and market research services in the memory and storage markets, with a focus on nonvolatile memory and solid state storage technologies. For further information, please contact:

Alan Niebel
WebFeet Research, Inc
w3.webfeetresearch.com

alan.niebel@web-feetresearch.com

Monday, October 31, 2016

WFR's New SSD and Controller SWOT Analysis – Is Speed Enough?

Who is making high performance SSDs for the Client, Enterprise and Commercial applications?  Who is pushing the edge of third party Controllers: intelligent processing of NVMe storage, compression and Object storage?

MONTEREY, CA., October 31, 2016 – WebFeet Research, Inc., an industry leading Non Volatile Memory and Storage market research firm, introduces the sixth annual report SSD SWOT Analysis and Company Profile, which provides the Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats (SWOT) analysis of 60+ standard form factor SSD vendors and 30+ third party Controller manufacturers. This report recognizes the difficulty of knowing which SSD and controller storage companies are active in the market, what products and services do they offer and who is advancing the ‘intelligent processing’ of memory and storage.   This timely update also lists the major vendors in hardware: Enterprise Solutions and All Flash Arrays, and through software/firmware: Business Intelligence and Analytics, Data Analytics, In-Memory Compute, Object Storage and Distributed File Systems, and NVMf Fabrics.

Besides being a veritable who’s who covering the players in each market, this analysis provides more clarity in highlighting how the SSD and controllers are evolving towards the merging of memory and hot storage. The hardware side of the SSDs shows the host interface moving from SATA and SAS to PCIe/NVMe and into the Memory channel. On the controller side are advances in handling or processing large data sets, reducing latency, improving LDPC and ECC, applying real time compression, enabling object storage, and enhancing security. Storage Class Memory (SCM) along with the advent of Data Centric Computing has motivated lead vendors like CNEX, NGD Systems and Symbolic IO to optimize the features of SCM or counter with their unique approach.
For marketing, finance or strategic planning professionals this report is essential. The SSD and Controller SWOT report, SS350SWOT-2016, is available for purchase from WebFeet Research in electronic excel format at $3,995.
About WebFeet Research   
Headquartered in Monterey, California, WebFeet Research provides business consulting and market research services in the memory and storage markets, with a focus on nonvolatile memory and solid state storage technologies.

Monday, June 20, 2016

WebFeet Research Heralds 2015 as Awakening of Life beyond NAND and DRAM

Flash Memory Components Market Revenues Improved to $33B, 3D XPoint Announced

Monterey, CA - June 20, 2016 – After reaching a midyear turning point WebFeet Research reflects on the salient 2015 announcements impacting the Non Volatile Memory market and the computing industry.  Intel and Micron revealed 3D XPoint memory heralding a sea change in computing memory architecture that will complement then replace DRAM and ‘high performance’ NAND. In consolidating its annual results of each Flash memory vendor’s shipments, WebFeet Research found the 2015 Flash memory market to be $33.4 billion, an increase of 8.2% from 2014.  A substantial increase in 2015 revenues came from the NAND Flash market at 10.6%, while the NOR market contracted dramatically from 2014 by -13.7 %. Samsung was again the 2015 revenue market leader for all NV Memories and NAND, Cypress (Spansion) established itself as the NOR Flash and the NVRAM market leader, and Winbond maintained the serial NOR leadership position. This report discusses the impact of the mergers and acquisitions (SanDisk and ISSI) on the memory market, qualifies the migration of planar to 3D NAND, quantifies how fast the emerging NVM are growing including XPoint as well as the reemergence of NRAM, and presents two forecasts for serial EEPROM showing the impact (slow initial adoption) of the Internet of Things (IoT) and its aggressive scenario.  

The 2015 Non Volatile Memory Market Shares by Vendor report, CS700MS-2016, includes market shares by vendor for total Non Volatile Memory, NAND Flash, NOR Flash, serial NOR Flash, total EEPROM, serial EEPROM, parallel EEPROM, OTP ROM (EPROM and Mask ROM), and NVRAM (NVSRAM, RTC, MRAM, FeRAM, PCM, XPoint, RRAM, NRAM and Others).  Annual revenue forecasts are provided from 2014-2021 for the EEPROM, OTP ROM, and NVRAM markets. In addition, the NVSRAM market shares are broken out by vendor for Real Time Clocks (RTC) and NVSRAM from 2010-2015.  This report, CS700MS-2016, is available for $2.5K and for providers of the market share data they can obtain the report with a $500 discount.  WebFeet Research also has forecast the serial EEPROM (conservative and aggressive) and the NVSRAM (nvSRAM, RTC) from 2013-2021 by density for revenue, units, and ASPs, and for the serial EEPROM by interface type.  Each of these additional forecasts are priced at $500 and come in excel format. 

WebFeet Research, located in Monterey, California, provides business consulting and market research services in the memory and storage markets, with emphasis on flash memory components, flash cards, EFDs, SSDs, and In-Memory Computing. 

Monday, March 28, 2016

WFR's New Applications Report Addresses - XPoint Impacts on Flash and Memory Applications

How will XPoint Memory improve the intelligent processing of the Internet of Things (IoT), Big Data and Enterprise SSDs? How will it impact Flash and DRAM consumption in 2016 and beyond?

MONTEREY, CA., March 28, 2016 WebFeet Research, Inc. recognizes the magnitude and impact of the 3D XPoint memory progressively adding intelligence to memory and storage as well as heralding in a new cognitive computing paradigm. There has been a bit of confusion about when XPoint will be available and with which applications. The fourteenth annual report Flash and XPoint Memory Applications and Markets, (CS100XFA-2016) provides some clarity to the timing and markets XPoint will address as well as showing the intelligence evolution theme weaving through NOR, NAND and XPoint. This major update provides an integrated memory/storage end-use market segmentation in the consumer, mobile and computing markets and forecasts the NOR, NAND, 3D NAND and XPoint usage in over 175 end-use applications.  Some of the new applications forecast are; when server-side XPoint DIMMs will replace NVDIMMs, the rise of wearable computing, Connected Home IoT and autonomous cars.
As the Flash/NVM technology evolves adding intelligence so did its markets. Beginning with basic media file storage in consumer applications NAND grew in usage. Mobile storage in Smart phones needs more intelligent Flash in performing execute-in-place with more reliable storage. Computing applications require the utmost performance from the block addressable NAND and XPoint as byte persistent SCM merges working data with hot storage to enable high capacity in-memory computing. Finally, the lost step-child NOR should see a mild rebound with high speed twin-Quad XTRM or HyperFlash Serial NOR initiating the connection for the Internet of Things in over 30 billion Intelligent Connected devices in 2020.
In the Flash and XPoint Memory Applications and Markets forecast, WebFeet Research provides a density breakout by revenue, units, and Mbits/Gbits for NAND (SLC, MLC, TLC, eMLC, SPI, Combo (MCP) NAND); 3D NAND (MLC, TLC); NOR, MLC NOR, serial NOR, Combo NOR and serial Combo NOR; and XPoint Memory.  The forecast period includes 2013-2015 historical and 2016-2020 projections.  A special section breaks out the serial NOR by over 30 applications including the major use of quad/plus IO serial NOR components.  In addition, the compute market examines the use of Flash cache, Server-side SSDs and storage SSDs for the client and cloud/datacenter/enterprise end-use markets. GigaByte consumption is also forecast by memory/storage end-use market and shows when computing becomes the Flash consumption market share leader.  Finally, the 2015 Flash Market Shares by Vendor is included showing how the players have changed position based on acquisitions and pricing to reach $31.3 billion in NAND, $2.1 billion in NOR and for a total of $33.4 billion in total Flash.

The Flash and XPoint Memory Applications and Markets: 2013-2020 report, CS100XFA-2016, (348 pages) is available for purchase from WebFeet Research in electronic and hard copy at $5,950. 

Monday, April 13, 2015

Solid State Drives (SSD) Company Profiles and SWOT Analysis

MONTEREY, CA., April 13, 2015 – Web-Feet Research, Inc. releases its Solid State Drives (SSD) Company Profiles and SWOT Analysis Report SS350SWT-2015.  The  SSD company profiles and SWOT analysis provides a database profile of 140+ SSD vendors and 25+ controller/firmware companies. 
This publication covers over 60+ notable companies with SWOT analysis along with product summaries and other relevant information positioning these companies with each other. The tool utilizes the excel filter capability to sort on a specific company (s)  and/or by market segment to assist users in company analysis, strategic planning and provide additional  insights on the SSD market.